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Essay Title Essay Date
Start Me Up! 13 April 2008 12:41 PM
The Missile Defense Ruse 5 April 2008 3:26 PM
What, no torture? 8 March 2008 2:36 PM
A Matter of Perception 19 December 2007 6:08 AM
Can we finish the job in Iraq? 23 June 2007 9:23 AM
Military Suicides in Iraq 17 March 2007 4:42 PM
Missing the Boat on Libby 14 March 2007 8:36 PM
Mainstream Media Finds Anti-War Movement 28 January 2007 7:56 AM
Arm the Iraqis or more US Troops? 18 January 2007 8:38 AM
Opposition to the War is the Problem 29 Octorber 2006 8:14 AM
Iraq vs. VietNam 19 Octorber 2006 7:36 PM
Give Peace a Chance? 6 October 2006 9:30 AM
Castro's Recent Illness 2 August 2006 12:56 PM
Climate Change and Reprogramable Biology 10 July 2006 9:00 PM
Bush's Stubborness 22 June 2005 7:03 PM
Rush to War (poem) 9 May 2004 3:32 PM
Bush Defends Policy on Iraq Contracts 11 December 2003 6:31 AM
War in Iraq 11 September 2003 7:40 PM
Vietnam Revisited? 29 March 2003 12:38 PM
Thoughts on a new War March 24, 2003 4:59 PM
Just say NO to war! 26 February 2003 10:27 PM
Anti-Semitism in France, October 2000 5 July 2001 5:52 PM

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Start Me Up!
13 April 2008

As expected last week, General David Petraeus testified before Congress about "progress" in Iraq. The mainstream media continues to portray the surge as a positive development with success possible if we only persevered. Well if all this is true, then it is time we started up the draft. The current war has placed an undue burden on the current military, and if the war in Iraq is as important as John McLain claims, then it is our duty as Americans to broadly support this effort.

The reality is that we have truly begun to take sides in an Iraqi Civil War that will become even messier now that the Shia factions have escalated their intra-sectarian fighting. One aspect of the Iraq War discussed in Ali Allawi's book, "Winning the War, Losing the Peace" that was not as well covered in other books about the war, was the intra-Shia factions that have competed for power. The current President, Al-Maliki, is aligned with SCIRI, the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq. Their militia, the Badr Brigade, along with four others, were supported by the US military after the Transitional Government was elected in 2005. The outcasts then, as they are now, were the Mahdi Army, led by Muqtada Al-Sadr. The events we saw in Basra a few weeks ago, and those that have continued in Baghdad since, have largely pitted SCIRI against the Mahdi Army. The US military has clearly sided with SCIRI in this battle, which recently included the assassination of a key aide of Al-Sadr.

Those who support the war, will continue to find small steps in the recent past to support their active claims that we are making progress in Iraq. The reality is that their infrastructure remains undeveloped after five years, most of the money we spend is siphoned off to corruption, and the intra-sectarian battles remain a problem. The fight that occurred in Basra led to no resolution of the division of power in the city amongst several factions, which included but were not limited to SCIRI and the Mahdi Army. Since this is a major point of control and wealth for the country, this will have to be resolved for progress to be made, and it cannot be resolved without a major military confrontation, much greater and more sustained than the one we saw in late March.

I do not believe that our presence now or in the future will help resolve the conflict in Iraq. It is true that Al-Qaeda in Iraq (AQI) exists, but they have few allies at this point. If we left the country to continue with their intra-sectarian fighting without us, AQI would have no reason to persist, as we are their foes. Without the U.S. as a target and with diminishing allies, they would continue to dwindle. In addition, those opposed to them (e.g. Shia factions), could provide us with intelligence so that we could strike at them from outside the country with drones, as we do in the border regions of Pakistan and in Yemen. So if those who want to continue this war continue to claim its strategic importance, then let them step forward and begin a draft. They could even hire Mick Jagger and the Rolling Stones to do a promo using their typical concert lead song, 'Start Me Up!'.

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The Missile Defense Ruse
5 April 2008

Every time I hear a story on the BBC about Bush's intention to create an alleged Missile Defense system in Europe, I am appalled by the lack of critical review of this policy. What amazes me most is the fallacy that we even have a "Missile Defense" system, or that it will ever be possible to deploy a truly functioning missile defense system. Yet the regular discussion of its deployment without any serious consideration of its underlying faults will lead to the general view that we do indeed have such a system, and that it works as one would expect.

The notion of ballistic missile defense began during the Reagan administration. His proposal became popularly referred to as "Star Wars". Throughout the 1980s and 1990s, we spent billions annually to develop such a missile defense system. The problem was, we were never very good at hitting ballistic missiles during our tests. At best, we could hit 50% of the ballistic missiles we targeted. During these tests, there was no attempt by the targeted missiles to use counter measures, nor was there any attempt to hide the location and time of when the targeted ballistic missile would be fired.

So George W Bush comes into office, and immediately says he is going to deploy a missile defense system in Alaska. He decided to spend billions on a system that is never likely to function well in the real world, as it can't even do well in a controlled test environment. At the time, the only rationale I could think of was to create a fixed military program that would be hard to remove in the future. This would in part be due to the fact that a military contractor would make billions annually by deploying such systems (see GAO report, page 93), and as a result, have a persistent lobbying presence in Washington to protect this program. The expansion of the program to Europe not only increases the revenue generated by the contractor, but further inculcates into the public mind that such a missile defense is possible (after all, why would we be spending so much for this system if it didn't work).

Thanks to Putin, Bush is finding it not so easy to establish a missile defense system in Europe. Despite assurances from Bush that Russia won't be targeted by such a system, Putin rightly claims that their national defense can not be predicated on promises, but by realities on the ground. Especially when you look at Bush's track record of broken promises (after all, Bush swore to the Europeans that military action against Iraq would be a last resort, but as soon as he got authorization from the US Congress to proceed in Oct 2002, that is exactly what he did. He showed no restraint what so ever in his use of force against Iraq, and to presume restraint of a missile defense system, would be foolish on Putin's part).

Putin can not afford to rely on the poor performance of the current system, as obviously any country pouring billions of dollars into such a system should be able to improve it over time. In addition, it will force Russia to spend billions in a counter measure program, which I'm sure could be put to better use in building a more prosperous Russia. I had always assumed that science and circumspection would win out over the nebulous dream of a functioning missile defense system. Bush has once again shown, that he is not bound by either.

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What, no torture?
8 March 2008

Today, President Bush is again stating we need to permit the CIA to use harsh interrogation methods. He claims the use of these techniques have saved lives. If this is true, then there must be some massive operations which have been thwarted by such measures.

In the movie "Taxi to the Dark Side", they recount the use of water boarding to get information from the "20th Hijacker", Ibn al-Shaykh al-Libi. The following is an excerpt from their website.

January 2002: In Bagram, CIA agents wrap Ibn al-Shaykh al-Libi in duct tape and put him in a plywood box "for his own protection", according to FBI agent Jack Cloonan. Al-Libi is sent to Cairo. After being waterboarded, al-Libi confesses "that Iraq had given al-Qaeda training in bomb-making and poison gas". This supposed link between al-Qaeda and Iraq will become part of Colin Powell's speech to the UN that laid the groundwork for the invasion of Iraq. Al-Libi will later claim that this link was part of a "false confession" obtained through torture. The CIA will confirm that al-Libi's testimony about the links between Iraq and al-Qaeda was false.

This was the most convincing evidence we had about a link between Iraq and al-Qaeda, and was used as part of the pretext for our current War in Iraq (other information available, such as the Sept 2002 Iraq Dossier, contained only dated information). Since we have had nearly 4000 US Troops killed since the Iraq War began, we must have saved thousands of lives elsewhere via torture. The President claims, "This program has produced critical intelligence that has helped us prevent a number of attacks. The program helped us stop a plot to strike a U.S. Marine camp in Djibouti, a planned attack on the U.S. consulate in Karachi, a plot to hijack a passenger plane and fly it into Library Tower in Los Angeles, and a plot to crash passenger planes into Heathrow Airport or buildings in downtown London.".

In addition, waterboarding is minor compared to the effects of sensory deprivation. If you look at the history of this research, some of which is touched upon in "Taxi to the Dark Side", you see that sensory deprivation is so much more destructive than physical torture. Yet we act like sleep deprivation is not a big deal. I trained in Medicine in the mid-1980s, and I can assure you even one night of sleep deprivation leaves the mind clouded, slow moving and indecisive. I'm not a fan of the hawk John McBush, I mean John McCain, but at least he recognizes that torture is abominable.

I am reminded of a Get Smart episode (episode 37, "The Decoy") when Maxwell Smart is captured by Kaos. One of the three Kaos operatives is continually dismayed that they are only going to interrogate him. In his thick German accent, he repeats with disbelief, "What, no torture?".

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A Matter of Perception
19 December 2007

Congress and the President have continued to struggle over how to fund the war, with the current battle passing to the House over a 70 billion dollar amendment to a larger appropriation bill. Despite many feint attempts to limit war spending since taking control of the Congress in January of this year, now is not the time for the Democrats to act so principled.

When the Democrats took charge of the current Congress based on an anti-war mandate, it seemed inevitable that funding for the war would soon end. However, Bush finally realized that he needed to listen to his pro-war critics, and augment the current troop levels with a surge. In addition, to this temporary increase in troops in Baghdad and Anbar Province, he also put in place a general who was familiar with counter insurgency tactics. The combined effect has been a decrease in violence in Iraq, and a fall in US casualties to the levels similar to the summer of 2003.

The important point is that this surge in troop levels will not be sustainable without a draft. As a result, by the Spring of 2008, we will have begun to significantly reduce our forces in Iraq, which will surely lead to a commensurate increase in violence at that time. This will in part be due to the lack of progress on the political side, which includes a powder keg in Basra over control of oil, but also a return of the insurgency, which has laid low during the past six months.

If Congress insists on cutting funding for the war at this time, Bush will have a PR victory in the Spring, when he can blame the increase in violence on this lack of funding. It would be more prudent for the Congress at this time to give the President sufficient funds to continue with his ultimately failed strategy (ie the war), and develop a more comprehensive plan to end the war once it is clear the surge was nothing more than a transient diminution of insurgent activity.

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Can we finish the job in Iraq?
23 June 2007

Those who feel we must stay to finish the job in Iraq, or not to leave it in such a state of disorder must first answer the question, can this be done? If "finish the job" means a stable functioning democracy with low levels of violence, it can not be done with our current level of effort in Iraq. An example is the increasing complexity and sophistication of weapons used by the insurgents in their attacks on US forces. (eg More powerful IEDs, made from plastic explosives with sophisticated triggering mechanisms that are deeply buried in the ground. In fact, why do we call them IEDs when they are really "mines", which are a common military tool.)

When we attacked Kuwait in 1991, we had 500,000 troops in the operation (Desert Shield and Desert Storm). The initial planning for an attack on Iraq, before Rumsfeld devised a new way of determining how many troops would be needed, required 300,000 troops (Fiasco, page 96). So my question is, how will the 160,000 troops we will have in Iraq after the "surge" acheive the strategic objective of a stable functioning democracy? The reality is we still have not controlled Iraq's borders. As a result, our opponents have been able to improve not only their armaments, but also their military training and tactics. The only way to realistically increase our troop levels to acheive a stable Iraq would be through a draft. Since anyone who you mention the idea of a draft to just looks down, and says it won't fly underscores the impossible military situation we are currently in. Even worse, those who are part of the active military are planning for their fourth and fifth deployments to Iraq and/or Afghanistan. The active military and their families have had to shoulder an unfair burden as part of this war, and we are still doing absolutely NOTHING to deal with it.

So what can we acheive in Iraq? Since we have followed a steady downward trajectory of "success" in Iraq, it is time we plan our departure, trying to maximize stability within Iraq and the Middle East at large, and minimize attacks on our troops as we move our massive military infrastructure out of Iraq (Thomas Ricks discusses this challenge in this audio link). Why is it imperative that we leave now?

1) We have steadily lost the support of the Iraqi people. If you look at any measure of Iraqi satisfaction with US involvement in their country, they have all declined over time, and there is no reason to think this trend will change with the continued worsening violence in the country. Rule 1 in a counter insurgency (ala Petraeus) is to win the hearts and minds of the people (Fiasco, page 266). We have failed.

2) The insurgents have shown an significant military capability including an ability to improve their weapons and tactics over time. In addition, they have shown marked ability to develop effective counter tactics.

3) We continue to be an irritant which would best be removed to promote healing. There is a maxim in Medicine that a wound won't heal if there is a foreign body present. Despite our remarkable abilities to heal, even a single stitch left behind will tend to fester, and prevent a complete recovery. Needless to say, we are the foreign body in Iraq. We are as much a provocateur as we are a stablizing force.

4) There are long standing cultural divides in Iraq, which affect not only stability within Iraq, but also stability in the Middle East at large. This has actually been an expanding ring of repercussions, and may ultimately be one of the more serious, long term consequences of this foolish war.

a) Iran: Their contribution to our quagmire in Iraq has contributed to our weakening influence in the world, and has augmented their status in the region. Because we have never controlled their border with Iraq, they have had a major influence within the Shia population. In addition, it would be very hard for us to limit this influence at this time without directly confronting Iran militarily. This of course, is not particularly threatening to Iran, because they know that any ground invasion by the US would be met with an even larger, hostile insurgency than the one we have encountered in Iraq. We could of course bomb them, but George W Bush has stated many times in the past, that he doesn't attack by "swatting at flies".

b) Turkey: The Kurds were such an obvious problem before the war that we tried to buy Turkey off with 35 billion dollars. Turkey refused to take any dollar amount to assist in any way the development of a Kurdish state. Now you have the PPK (the Turkish Kurds, terrorists according to the Bush definition) are taking safe harbor in Kurdish Iraq while launching a series of new attacks within Turkey. Turkey has been shelling the border of Kurdish Iraq over the past few weeks, and it is only a matter of time before they invade Kurdish Iraq.

c) Lebanon: They will likely be back in a full fledged civil war before the year is out (the BBC interviewed several people on the streets of Beirut last week and their worries over a further escalation were frightening). There continue to be monthly major political assassinations, largely parties with sectarian ties (Shia and Sunni). Syria appears to be supporting Sunni parties in the north. Iran tends to be supporting Shia in the south (including Hezb'allah). There has been a large Shia protest encampment in central Beirut since last fall led by Nasrallah. Not only has there been major Shia/Sunni tension in the north, Hezb'allah and Israel had a major conflict last June, that was never fully resolved.

d) Palestine: Life in Gaza has gone from living in Hell to worse. It reminds me of the final line from Stevie Wonder's "Village Ghetto Land", "tell me would you be happy, in Village Ghetto Land". If I were 20 and lived in Gaza, with its nearly 100% unemployment, I would likely be part of a militarized group! So there are plenty of potential combatants. What has changed, has to do with Iran's increasing influence, and their ability to arm and train Hamas. It was widely stated (in the international media) by Fatah during the recent fighting, that Hamas showed sophisticated military training, tactics and firepower. They sure didn't learn this from Egypt (the only connection Gaza has outside of Israel). Once again, Bush and Blair took a stubborn, do it "our way or the highway" approach with Hamas, after they were democratically elected to run the Palestinian Parliament last year. This inability to talk to our foes while maintaining an unbending policy forces a stand off, as opposed to our resolution. I just saw Christopher Hill, US envoy to North Korea, on Cspan last night talking about how successful his talks were with North Korea. After six years, we finally dealt directly with them, and it was successful. However, during the stubborn, intransigent phase, North Korea actually attempted to detonate (unsuccessfully) a nuclear weapon. Needless to say, we are continuing to push Hamas away while acting like Abbas and the Palestinian Authority (PA) really can do something constructive (after all, if Israel releases 300 million in taxes legitimately owed to the Palestinian's to the PA, half of it will likely be skimmed off by a very corrupt PA).

So let's get real, and start planning how to get out of this quagmire in Iraq as best we can. We won't come out smelling like roses, but maybe we won't come out smelling as poorly as we did when we left Viet Nam in 1975, with people hanging on to departing helicopters.

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Military Suicides in Iraq
17 March 2007

I found it very saddening today when I updated our listing of Military Suicides in Iraq. The vast majority of the military suicides in 2006 were less than 25 years old, though several were over 40. It was hard to imagine the despair they must have felt, before they became another, "non-combat related fatality". They couldn't fathom going on one more patrol, one more mission. Many were on leave outside the theater of operations. The thought of going back was a thought they couldn't contemplate even one more time.

The sadness of war is in part due to the incredibly difficult circumstances soldiers find themselves in. When our leaders send our soldiers into battle, they become exposed to circumstances they could never have contemplated. The natural human tendency to view the enemy with hate becomes reinforced every day. This contributes to abuse (eg Abu Ghraib), unnecessary killing of civilians (eg Haditha), and in some, the inability to live with themselves. It suggests our inability to care for our soldiers isn't limited to Walter Reed, but even in the context of active service, 3-4% become sufficiently despondent to kill themselves.

In addition, the families of these victims have to not only live with the loss of a loved one, but they can't even rationalize their loss as part of a noble cause. Though I have focused on the military suicides, I received an email earlier this month from the wife of a suicide victim who had worked for KBR. He spent 18 months in Iraq, but after four months of service, she noted a dramatic change in him. Within four months of his return, he had committed suicide, leaving her and their daughter with "an emptiness that will never be filled". One of the chores he had been responsible for was cleaning up the mess left behind when young soldiers had killed themselves.

Suicide is always a painful topic. However, the horrors that lead to it and result from it should not be ignored. A war that has led to this level of hopelessness in those involved in prosecuting it is telling us something. Are we listening?

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Missing the Boat
14 March 2007

There has been much talk in the Media about its role in the Scooter Libby affair. There have been complaints that the Media had become to close to its sources, and potentially manipulated by them. In addition, the right wing spin, via its media sources, has tried to re-write history in terms that are favorable to their view of what the Libby conviction means.

I believe there was an even more sinister Media role in this whole affair. This view has been in part derived from information Joan Mellen presented in her book, "A Farwell to Justice". During the investigation of the JFK assassination by Jim Garrison, he confronted a hostile media in every city that was actively involved in his investigation (e.g. New Orleans, Miami, Washington). Nearly 40 years after the fact, we now know that these media stories were purveyed by "media assets" of the CIA. The media assets of the CIA were numerous enough, that they had a specific way of naming them. For example, AMCARBON-3 referred to a Cuban (AM) Media (CARBON) asset (see page 253 along with her Notes at the back of the book).

So how does this relate to the Scooter Libby case. Well first and foremost is Judith Miller. Clearly she was a mouth piece for the administration point of view prior to and during the early Iraq War. In fact, in Fiasco, Thomas Rick's book about the Iraq War, he reveals that she had information about the search for "weapons of mass destruction" that was not even available to the military personnel who were leading the investigation (pg 382). How was Judith Miller getting information that was unavailable to the actual officers in charge of the search for weapons of mass destruction? I can assure you it wasn't information she was getting from her editors (nor likely from Ahmed Chalabi, either).

Also, the nauseating post-Libby conviction spin by the right, has all the hallmarks of a campaign by media assets. Who is leading this campaign? Well, maybe in 40 years we'll know. But for now, I think it is important to realize that our assumption that the media is unbiased is flawed at its core. In addition, we are constantly subjected to misinformation, which is placed before us to deliberately mislead us, just as was done during the Garrison investigation 40 years ago.

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Mainstream Media Finds Anti-War Movement
28 January 2007

The revolution will not be televised. Gil Scott-Heron popularized this line in an earlier era. Well, it turns out today, without TV, you can't get your message across. No air time, no revolution. What was it about yesterday's anti-war rally in Washington, D.C. that finally got the mainstream media's attention? Surely it was not the size. Well over 100,000 attended the 24 September 2005 anti-war rally in DC, and an even larger number took to the streets in NYC on 29 April 2006. When both of these rallies occurred, there was widespread knowledge that the pretense for this war was a lie, and that the implementation of the Bush "strategy" was a debacle. Yet there was nary a whisper by the mainstream media after these events. There was a brief mention of Cindy Sheehan by some mainstream media outlets after the Sept 05 DC rally. After the NYC rally, the only media report that appeared was an inaccurate account by the AP's Desmond Butler, and even this had limited dissemination.

Yesterday's anti-war rally has had widespread front page, and lead news story coverage. If size wasn't the factor that led to this improved coverage of the anti-war movement, what was it? Was it the surge? The troop surge by Bush has led to a media surge of the peace movement? Maybe the media's new interest is due to a shift in the political winds, with a divided government more likely to push a peace agenda? In my mind, what really stands out is the All-Star cast that was assembled for this rally. The top speakers at the Sept 05 rally were Cindy Sheehan, Ramsey Clark and George Gallagher. Despite the DC location for this rally, there were no Congresspeople present. At the NYC rally, there were some of yesterday's notables (eg Jesse Jackson and Susan Sarandon), but there was no effective rally due to the limited space in Foley Square, with an inability of the throngs of marchers to gather as a unit and display their contempt for the current Iraq War. Neither of these events was filmed.

In the weeks preceding yesterday's event, I attended a couple meetings of Boston area peace activists . It was clear that fewer people would be going to DC than had attended the prior rallies. I was one of those who opted not to attend, in part because at one meeting, we learned that United for Peace was still working on a speakers list, with uncertainty over who they would be able to add to the list. In addition, I learned that the organizers were more focused on having an effective lobbying effort set for tomorrow, Monday, January 29th, than having a large peace rally. Clearly the All-Stars stepped forward for this rally. Not only did three Congresspeople attend, but four major Hollywood stars, a prominent rapper, and many disenfranchised members of the US Government. In particular, Jane Fonda's presence was specifically noted by both the BBC in their lead story on the rally, and as a side comment on Fox News' Beltway Boys. To top it off, the rally was carried live on C-span. I couldn't believe my eyes. I had flipped through several TV channels at 1pm to see if the headline news channels had anything on the rally. Lo and behold, Jesse Jackson appears on my screen, rousing the crowd at the rally (I will post a link to the C-span video when it is available).

So what should be the strategy of the peace movement going forward? Continued efforts to support protest from the active duty military is clearly important. The appeal for redress continues to prosper as a protest tool against the war. There are also plenty of baby boomer peace activists, ready to rally when needed. But what the movement really needs is better coverage by the mainstream media, so the anti-war perspective is not just an afterthought, or maligned by "cut and run" comments. If the All-Stars are willing to stay on the hotseat, and fight the fight with us, then our chances for reaching a broader audience with the peace movement is possible. If not, we may return to the status quo, where only independent media is covering the anti-war effort.

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Arm the Iraqis or more US Troops?
18 January 2007

Prime Minister Maliki has now joined the chorus opposing the deployment of more US troops to Iraq. He said if we just supplied more armaments to Iraq, they could do a better job and we could even reduce our troop levels.

This is the folly with Bush's (and John McCain's plan) to send more troops to Iraq. There are so many reasons not to do it, that we find a new reason to oppose it nearly every day. This new attempt, by the seductive Maliki, is only to further strengthen the Shiite hold on power. The Sunni's remain isolated from the political process, and surely won't have access to these new arms. The Kurds have been functioning autonomously for over a decade, and feel it is just a matter of time before they become independent. They also will see no such US arms (unless we delivered them to the Kurds directly, as we did before the war).

At least the Congress acts like they see the writing on the wall. Whether they will have the temerity to follow through and get us out of this mess remains to be seen. However, adding more armaments before the Iraqi's have truly built an inclusive security force, is as foolish as adding more US troops before a serious attempt is made by the Iraqi government to govern. A recently leaked NSA memo conceded that all the empiric evidence supported a deliberate attempt by the Shiites to use the current government to consolidate power.

So we have a divided state, with no path for reconciliation clear, where Bush plans to add fuel to the fire. Never mind the fact that every time we have escalated our involvement, the level of violence has increased. Never mind the fact that our forces lost the confidence of the Iraqi on the street a long time ago. Let's just act like the Iraqi government really does have its interests aligned with ours. For when we finally recognize that our interests are aligned with no one in the battle for Iraq, we will have no choice but to leave, even if George W Bush is still our President.

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Opposition To War is the Problem.
29 October 2006

Once again, we are hearing the problem is not in Iraq (the war zone), but back in the States. The notion is that those supporting peace don't have an adequate grasp of the situation. In addition, the naive belief that ending US involvement in the conflict would be a good thing, turns out to be the greatest impediment to achieving victory.

This is not a new tactic, though it has been gaining popularity of late. I first heard it expressed last week as a comment on the BBC World Service's Newshour program. It wasn't hard to find a more prominent example in the mainstream media. All I had to was go to Fox.com, and check out one of the commentators. I chose Oliver North, since he proved himself such a reliable witness during the Iran Contra hearings in the mid 1980s.

Writing in the column, "Colonel's Corner", North argued two major points in his essay, "Vietnam and Iraq: Myth vs. Reality". The first was that the Viet Cong and the Iraqi resistance are structurally different from a military point of view, and thus, not comparable. The important aspect that Mr. North overlooks, is that both culturally have fought foreign occupiers throughout their history, and will fight an occupier incessantly until they leave.

The other comparison of the two wars that Mr. North takes issue with is casualties. He actually focuses on just war dead. He notes the daily mortality rate in Viet Nam was 15/day versus 2/day in Iraq. This of course overlooks the difference in medical technology between wars that are 30 years apart. There were not CAT scans nor MRIs during Viet Nam. There wasn't even molecular biology. Thus, when you include the fact that another 20 soldiers a day are wounded, some of them which would have been fatal during the Viet Nam era, even this comparison to Viet Nam rings hollow.

Oliver North concludes, "The war in Vietnam wasn't lost during "Tet '68" no matter what Walter Cronkite said. Rather, it was lost in the pages of America's newspapers, on our televisions, our college campuses - and eventually in the corridors of power in Washington. We need to pray that this war isn't lost the same way."

Does opposition to the Iraq War undermine our chance of victory? If we look at Viet Nam through an objective lens like "Fog of War" or "Sir, No Sir", we see Viet Nam was lost through a multitude of reasons, none of which were due to the public's belief that the war in Indochina was wrong. At a similar stage during the Viet Nam conflict, when Richard Nixon was a former Vice President, and was still working on becoming President, he gave a speech to the VFW (Veteran's of Foreign War) convention in NYC (1966). He said, "opposition to the war in this country is the single greatest weapon working against the US".

President Bush is back to his drum beat, "if we don't fight them over there, we will have to fight them here". While he is back to obfuscating the War in Iraq with 9/11 and an appropriate American response to it, those of us opposed to the war need not bow to their recycled rhetoric. After all, Nixon was wrong in 1966, as he was with most of his decisions in Viet Nam. It appears that it is incomprehensible for the President, as Commander in Chief of such an incredibly, talented army, that we could fall, at some level, to a foe. This folly, and not that of a concerned public over a foolish foreign policy, is the true enemy of peace.

Peace is Patriotic!

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Iraq vs. Vietnam
19 October 2006 7:36 PM

Those who argue the US must stay in Iraq until they can manage security themselves, assume the longer we stay, the more stable the situation will become. This is contrary to the evidence accumulated since the March 2003 invasion, and contrary to our experience in Viet Nam.

Though some argue that our lack of will was the reason we lost, Robert McNamara, the US Secretary of Defense during the Viet Nam War, found out that was not the case when he met his Vietnamese counterpart, General Vo Nguyen Giap, in 1995. McNamara revealed in the documentary, "Fog of War", that Gen. Giap was stunned by his lack of knowledge about Vietnamese history. He asked McNamara while gesticulating wildly, 'Didn't McNamara know that the Vietnamese fought foreign domination by the Chinese for 1000 years?'

McNamara concluded that in War, you must know your enemey. Do we know the Iraqis? When we assumed the Iraqi National Congress was representivative of the average Iraqi, we were wrong. When Prime Minister Maliki released a deputy of Muqtada Al-Sadr yesterday that had been captured by the US Army for killing its troops, the US Army leadership was appalled.

Do we know our enemy in Iraq? The evidence suggests we do not. Will more US troops in Iraq or a longer occupation lead to stability? Our Vietnamese experience suggests not. This is the lesson of Viet Nam President Bush needs to learn, not that the Tet Offensive was a propaganda success by the Viet Cong.

jerry sobieraj
boston, MA

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Give Peace a Chance?
4 October 2006
by Jerry Sobieraj

There have been several groups involved in the peace movement who have been working to secure voter pledges for Peace Candidates. When I searched the Internet in July, I did not turn up any listings of Peace Candidates, so my partner in peace, Ed, and myself, began to construct such a list. Our plan was to facilitate the process of selecting a Peace Candidate for people who took the vote for peace pledge. We felt it was important to be comprehensive, so we needed to evaluate all listed candidates in all national races. We also wanted to have a clear definition of a Peace Candidate. Since the War in Iraq has been such a debacle, it seemed important to at least recognize the war as misguided. In addition, consistent with the efforts of Code Pink and Troops Home Fast, we required that Peace Candidates support an immediate withdrawal or redeployment of our troops from Iraq. The removal of our troops also needed to have a timeline defined, without dependency on undefined benchmarks and with no residual military presence in Iraq.

The goal of all this, of course, would be to achieve a 110th Congress next year that would implement a peace agenda. However, after completing the process (http://peaceispatriotic.org/peaceCandidates.html), I realized that the numbers didn't add up to peace. The most glaring problem was that Republicans had only a single Peace Candidate, Alan Fine of Minnesota. Yet, even his presence wouldn't affect the fact that any Republican elected would in essence be a vote against peace. Alan Fine was running in Minnesota's 5th District, which had three Peace Candidates, with the race expected to be won by Keith Ellison, the Democratic Peace Candidate.

Since every Republican elected would be a vote against peace in the next Congress, if Republicans didn't retain their majority in the House, surely that would result in a peace agenda, wouldn't it? This would assume that all the non-Republicans elected were Peace Candidates. Since non-Republicans elected to Congress would likely be Democrats, it turned out that this wouldn't be much better. A tally of Peace Candidates showed only 49% of Democrats running for national office met our definition. In fact, many Democratic incumbents didn't even list the War in Iraq as an issue on their official web sites.

The omission of the war as an issue did not appear accidental either. When a search of an incumbent Congress person's web site didn't turn up a press release or statement regarding Iraq, we still needed a way to evaluate their stance on the war. Fortunately, HR 861, a House bill proposed to support the "Global War on Terrorism", was a unique resource for fathoming Congressional views on the War in Iraq. Some Congress people had press releases with their statements on HR 861 posted on their web sites, though a dozen Peace Candidates did not post their comments about HR 861 on their web sites (I found their statements on Thomas, the web site of the National Library of Congress). The more secure a Democrat appeared to be in retaining their seat, the less likely they were to have Iraq on their web site. As the safety of an incumbents seat increased (e.g. running unopposed), the likelihood that they even had a statement about Iraq in the Congressional Record decreased. In addition, long term incumbents were much more likely to have out of date web sites (e.g. one didn't have anything regarding the 109th Congress, with press releases from the 108th Congress listed as "current"), and very sparse representation in Thomas (e.g. several had a tenth of the entries in the Congressional Record compared to someone early in their careers).

Does this make voter pledges for peace meaningless? In some cases, yes. For example, Indiana has 10 Congressional races and no Peace Candidates. If you live in Indiana, there is no way you can vote for a Peace Candidate. People in Districts that have no Peace Candidates (only 59% of races have a Peace Candidate), first have to create Peace Candidates. Since many Democrats recognize the War in Iraq as misguided, some of them could be convinced to support a more precise timeline for removing our troops. The peace movement clearly has work to do. If getting pledges for peace in Districts without Peace Candidates can result in a lobbying effort after the election to support our removal from Iraq, then it will remain a worthwhile effort.

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Subject: Castro's Recent Illness
Date: Wed, 2 Aug 2006 12:56:10 -0400

Castro's recent illness has brought the Castro bashers to the fore. It is true, the material wealth of Cuba has been slow to progress, but this has largely been due to the US embargo imposed since the Kennedy Adminstration. In terms of other measures, Cuba is a world leader. Their childhood vaccination rate of 99% is unrivaled. They have 1 primary care doctor for every 800 people, which is a third to a half of the expected panel for a primary care physician in the US. Cuba has the highest literacy rate in the world (97%), and even the most remote villages have computers in their schools. If these are the sins of Castro, then let the sinners prevail!

Pan American Health Organization: Cuba Health Profile

La Playa Giron, the First Defeat of Yanqui Imperialists in Latin America

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Subject: Climate change and reprogramable biology
Date: 10 Jul 2006 07:39

The juxtaposition of the articles by Jeffrey Sachs and Ray Kurzweil in the July issue of SciAm raise the question of whether a stable economic system with affordable energy and meterials can be sustained long enough to yield the full benefits of a reprogramable biology. We are already at 380 ppm of CO2 in our atmosphere, with no prospect for a decrease in the coming decades. If the resulting altered climate exacerbates our current political and economic conflicts, our ability to divert resources to technology will become more problematic. As a result, our ability to block the insulin receptor will be moot when our life of caloric excess disappears with our coastlines.

jerry sobieraj boston, MA

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Subject: Bush's stubborness
Date: Wednesday, June 22, 2005 7:03 PM

I agree that he will stick with a bad policy excessively long, another Vietnam repeat. I also agree that he believes this is all sanctioned by God, so his perservance is ultimately trying to prove God right (whatever that means).

In my advanced Networks class, we spoke a lot about a network converging to a stable state. This is because, if you don't design apt network topologies and feedback loops, you can have a system that never stablizes. One of the things we did was to evaluate ways to assess convergence. I have wondered since whether the Iraq War will ever converge to a stable state. The reality is mathematically, that most complex functions will NOT converge to a steady state. Since this is a very complex function with many destabilizing forces, I am guessing it will never lead to a stable state (eg. if we can only stay long enough to train enough Iraqis, we can leave peacefully. However, the longer we stay, the less likely we are to be able to train enough Iraqis due to their being killed off, difficulty with recruiting, and that more and more people hate us the longer we stay there).

He'll need God to get him out of this mess.

take care, jerry

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Rush to War
by Jerry Sobieraj
9 May 2004

We must act now, rush to war.
People protest in the streets,
they say NO, don't go to war.
We must act now, rush to war.

He's stuck in Baghdad,
he can't fly north, he can't fly south.
We must act now, rush to war.

10 year embargo, old weapons found.
We must act now, rush to war.
Maybe nuclear, anthrax, more.
We must act now, rush to war.

No time for concensus,
UN will slow us down.
We must act now, rush to war.

They'll greet us with rose petals,
we'll set them free.
We must act now, rush to war.

Looting and chaos in the streets,
but now they are free?
We've acted now, rushed to war.

No weapons found,
Soldiers dying one by one.
We've acted now, rushed to war.

Resentment mounts in Iraqi streets.
Attacks against us everyday.
We've acted now, rushed to war.

Hard to rebuild,
where is the support?
We need the UN now, rushed to war.

Disasters keep mounting.
Prison abuse deplored by Bush.
The Almighty led us,
When we rushed to war.

How do we end this?
To protect our troops.
We shouldn't have acted,
when we rushed to war.

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Subject: President Bush Defends Policy on Iraq Contracts
Date: Thursday, December 11, 2003 4:31 AM

President Bush says the American Taxpayer expects a biased awarding of contracts to the "coalition of the willing". This taxpayer hoped the President would finally get it right when it came to Iraq. This taxpayer hoped that we would broadly solicit contracts to rebuild Iraq if for no other reason than to support the only remaining tenable claim of the President, that the war in Iraq was to liberate the Iraqi people. President Bush finally had a chance to show the world that we weren't interested in dividing up the spoils, but only in reconstructing Iraq in an open and broadly supported way. Unfortunately, many American Taxpayers will be left wondering, will President Bush continue to bungle every aspect of the War in Iraq?

jerry sobieraj boston, MA

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Subject: War in Iraq
Date: Thursday, September 11, 2003 7:40 PM

Dr Mr President,

We have never supported the war in Iraq. We have strongly supported the war on Terroism, but the war in Iraq has never been about Terroism.

Millions of us went to the streets to remind you that Iraq was contained by no fly zones in the norh and south, and weapons inspetions, that were broadly supported, and could have easily been expanded.

We believed that containment was not only an adequate response to the issues raised in Iraq, but would prevent us from blurring our War on Terrorism.

Iraq was alleged to have an existent threat of biological and chemical agents with a potential nuclear capability. Then you alleged that bad guys like Saddam will associate with terrorists, but the preponderance of the evidence was that Al-Queda viewed Saddam with disdain. Finally, it was decided that Saddam was a sufficiently bad guy, and with our new military directives that pre-emptive strikes are apt in the War on Terrorism (or other national interests), we could take him out.

Mr President, you have sown a field in Iraq that is substantially more supportive of terrorists now than prior to our invasion. To extricate ourselves, we will expend numerous more American lives and countless more dollars. And even then, to hope that Iraq is less of a terrorist threat after we leave than prior to our entrance into their affairs, seems exceedingly unlikely.

Mr President, you have wrought increased danger and instability in a region that was already teeming with them. We, as Americans, can only hope that you are more circumspect in your future decisions than those associated with our failed attempt to "liberate Iraq".

jerry sobieraj
boston, MA

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Subject: Vietnam Revisited?
Date: Saturday, March 29, 2003 12:38 PM

This may be premature, but I have had a couple deja vu's this week. The first with the call up of additional troops and the second today with word of a car bomb killing 4 Marines. During Vietnam, I recall multiple times that if we only sent more troops, we could do the job. Of course, they say these were already planed, and they likely were, but it this didn't alter my deja vu.

Also recall how the Vietnamese would strap bombs to women and children, who would approach US soldiers and then blow themselves up. This type of tactic is likely to happen in Iraq too. Saddam gave the person who blew himself up today two medals (not that he will ever wear them).

As you all know, I opposed the war, as I felt the stated aim of fighting terrorism could have been better managed without this war. However, now that we are there, the current administration will have a month or two to see if their scenario plays out. It is unfortunate, that our power and resources lead to a blind arrogance, that failure and how to manage it isn't considered. Much effort has gone into planning how to manage Iraq after the fall of Saddam, but how much effort has been placed on defining an exit strategy based on failure. How does one achieve the claimed aims of the war, eliminating weapons of mass destruction and their potential use by terrorists, if we are never able to secure a stable Iraq? How do we leave a situation without more disorder and uncertainty than when we went in.

Of course, if the President is correct and he achieves success as they claim, then speculation as above is just that. Let us hope that this is the result, for if it isn't, I doubt we will be better off than we were before the war.

I fear the perils of engaging Saddam's troops in Baghdad and his ability to manipulate Arab opinion in his failure. Even if we could prove to ourselves that he bombed his own neighborhoods in Baghdad to make us look bad, would the Arab world ever believe it? I'll let you answer that question.

Finally, let us not forget that President Bush still owes us a year of military service. He found it unnecessary to report for his service in the Air National Guard in Georgia in 1971, which likely was safer than a tour in Vietnam would have been. Why he was never declared AWOL remains a mystery.
Peace, Jerry.

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Subject: Random thoughts
Date: Monday, March 24, 2003 4:59 PM

I used to read a column by Sydney Harris called "Random Thoughts". I found it interesting at the time, and wondered recently what I would think of his ideas now.

I agree whole heartedly with you. I sense incredible resistance when we approach Baghdad. The arrogance of America and the view that people will see things our way is so misguided. Those who live in the South of Iraq are very cognizant of how we withdrew our support for political reasons in 1991.

Why should they risk their lives again? Let the Yankees risk theirs. If people are squeamish over 10 deaths, they better get used to it, as I suspect we will ultimately lose 100s.

In additon, as time goes on, the ulterior motives become clearer. Turkey didn't allow overflights, becasue they don't want an American presence in the north. France and Russia didn't want us to go in not because of any principle, but because they are the ones that undermined the sanctions in 1998 to the point Saddam felt he could throw out the inspectors with impunity (as he did), and escalated their "dirty" dealings between then and now. If we uncover all this, it may look as bad as finding weapons of mass destruction.

China is scared by the US military getting so much practice at war between the '91 Gulf war, Kosovo, Afghanistan and now Iraq. They are afraid we may apply such a brazen attitude in Asia.

Finally the press. The US is using them as part of their psychological tactics against Iraq. They hope they see a fierceness on CNN so they will buckle.

Now that we have started this mission, I am giving the powers that be a reasonable amount of time to conclude it as they said they would. However, if their assumptions and plans were in error, as they well may be, I will once again join the throngs in the street to protest the war.

I believe the President's support is very tenous and could disappear as quickly as it appeared in the past week. In addition, his obsession with tax cuts helps me, but not the economy in general. Doesn't he understand that the major difference between the economic growth in the 1990s and other periods since 1970 was the budget surplus and the resulting low cost of money to business. The tax cuts and their contribution to budget deficits will give a squirt of growth like we saw in the Reagan years, only to be followed by an equal period of economic collapes.

jerry

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Subject: Just say NO to war!
Date: Wednesday, February 26, 2003 10:27 PM

You bet. All four of us went dow to NYC for the protest. I also joined the virutal march on Washington today which flooded the Senate and White House with anti-war protests.

If Bush thinks we are going away he is wrong. I think having all those troops over there is a good idea, as Saddam is finally coughing up some material. I just hope GW is smart enough to not actually use them. Since so many are praying for him to have the wisdom to do the correct thing, this should be a no brainer for him. Since he has no brain, I guess he can't go wrong. You should head up to SF the next time they have a big one up there. If interested:
http://www.unitedforpeace.org

Just say NO to war!
jer

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